Day 1 |
: |
Monday, |
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March 26th |
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| Time |
Session |
Authors |
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Title |
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| 8:00 AM |
Registration |
|
|
| 8:20 AM |
Welcome, meeting purpose, and overview |
Jack Baker |
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Quantifying and communicating uncertainties
(Moderator: Ton Vrouwenvelder) |
| 8:40 AM |
|
Stuart Reid |
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Confidence and risk |
| 9:00 AM |
|
Ross Corotis |
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Risk communication with generalized uncertainty and linguistics |
| 9:20 AM |
|
Armen Der Kiureghian, Ove Ditlevsen |
|
Epistemic or aleatory? Does it matter? |
| 9:40 AM |
|
Bruce Ellingwood |
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Quantifying and communicating uncertainties in seismic risk assessment |
| 10:00 AM |
|
Discussion |
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| 10:15 AM |
Break |
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Risk acceptance for existing structures
(Moderator: Bruce Ellingwood) |
| 10:45 AM |
|
Dimitris Diamantidis, Paolo Bazzurro |
|
Target safety criteria for existing structures |
| 11:05 AM |
|
Renee Lee, Anne Kiremidjian |
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Efficient seismic risk assessment and retrofit prioritization model for transportation networks |
| 11:25AM |
|
Ryan Williams, Paolo Gardoni, Joseph Bracci |
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Decision analysis for seismic retrofit of structures |
| 11:45 AM |
|
Discussion |
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| 12:00 PM |
Lunch |
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Calibrating design codes and obtaining target risk levels
(Moderator: Michael Faber) |
| 1:20 PM |
|
Peter Tanner, Angel Arteaga |
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Structural safety requirements based on notional risks associated with current practice |
| 1:40 PM |
|
Torgeir Moan |
|
Development of accidental collapse limit state criteria for offshore structures |
| 2:00 PM |
|
Niels Lind, Mahesh Pandey, Jatin
Nathwani |
|
Flood control and societal capacity to commit resources |
| 2:20 PM |
|
Brian Meacham |
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Using risk as a basis for establishing tolerable performance: an approach for building regulation |
| 2:40 PM |
|
Yasuki Ohtori, Hiroshi Soraoka, Tomoyoshi Takeda |
|
Calibration of safety factors for seismic stability of foundation grounds and surrounding
slopes in nuclear power sites, |
| 3:00 PM |
|
Discussion |
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| 3:15 PM |
Break |
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| 3:45 PM |
Break-out session: risk acceptance success stories |
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| 4:30 PM |
Close |
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| 7:00 PM |
Dinner: Stanford Faculty Club |
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Day 2 |
: |
Tuesday, |
|
March 27th |
|
|
|
|
|
| Time |
Session |
Authors |
|
Title |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Advanced uncertainty modeling for risk calculations
(Moderator: Ove Ditlevsen) |
| 8:30 AM |
|
Abbie Liel, Curt Haselton, Gregory Deierlein, Jack Baker |
|
Assessing the seismic collapse risk of reinforced concrete frame structures, including effects of modeling uncertainties |
| 8:50 AM |
|
Daniel Straub, Armen Der Kiureghian |
|
Risk acceptance in deteriorating structural systems |
| 9:10 AM |
|
Ton Vrouwenvelder |
|
Failure consequences in flood engineering |
| 9:30 AM |
|
K. Nishijima, Marc Maes, Jean Goyet, Michael Faber |
|
Acceptance Criteria for Components of Complex Systems using Hierarchical System Models |
| 9:50 AM |
|
Discussion |
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| 10:10 AM |
Break |
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Considerations beyond expected costs
(Moderator: Ross Corotis) |
| 10:40 AM |
|
Terje Haukaas |
|
Risk measures beyond expected cost for decision making in performance-based earthquake engineering |
| 11:00 AM |
|
Michael Faber, Matthias Schubert |
|
Decision making subject to aversion of low frequency high consequences event |
| 11:20 AM |
|
Des Hartford |
|
Justification of risk-taking through reasoning, reasonableness and practicability |
| 11:40 AM |
|
Ove Ditlevsen, Peter Friis-Hansen |
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Cost and benefit including life, limb and environmental damage measured in time units |
| 12:00 AM |
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Discussion |
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| 12:20 PM |
Lunch |
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Risk assessment and risk acceptance for complex systems(Moderator: Anne Kiremidjian) |
| 2:00 PM |
|
Leonardo Dueñas-Osorio |
|
Risk assessment of dynamic urban infrastructures |
| 2:20 PM |
|
Sei’ichiro Fukushima,
Tsuyoshi Takada |
|
Probabilistic Comparison of Seismic Design Response Spectra, |
| 2:40 PM |
|
Auguste Boissonnade |
|
Modeling demand surge |
| 3:00 PM |
|
Junho Song, Won Hee Kang |
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Risk-quantification of complex systems by matrix-based system reliability method |
| 3:20 PM |
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Discussion |
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| 3:40 PM |
Break |
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| 4:00 PM |
Break-out session: practical and research needs to promote risk-based tools |
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| 5:00 PM |
Summary of break out sessions, consensus points, and future directions |
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| 5:30 PM |
Close, reception at Stanford Faculty Club |
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